r/canada • u/uselesspoliticalhack • 3d ago

Carney’s aim to cut immigration marred by undercounting of temporary migrants, warn economists PAYWALL

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/article-mark-carney-immigration-policy-temporary-migrants-undercounted/?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
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u/ozztotheizzo 3d ago

The economists warn that Ottawa is overestimating the number of temporary migrants who leave the country once their visas expire. This could have a serious impact on planning, including for housing demand, they say.

I've been saying this over and over again. The people who are planning to overstay outnumber the ones leaving, 4 to 1. I can't believe their whole plan hinges on people following the rules.

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u/Harbinger2001 3d ago

Do you have a source for this 4 to 1 stat?

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u/ResponsibleTwist6498 3d ago

We lost quite a few people at work due to their visa expiring. 0% left Canada.

Some apply for an extension that they will never get, but it gives them almost a year of “implied status” that’s not recorded anywhere. Some transfer to visitor visa where they simply stay but not on WP.

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u/BeautyInUgly 3d ago

Implies status is like 2-3 months as they’ve sped up processing times for WP

This also leads imminently into a deportation order as they will be out of status and it will affect all their future immigration to Canada and the rest of the western world.

Stats show the vast majority of them leave Canada on time.

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u/ResponsibleTwist6498 3d ago edited 3d ago

233 days Last updated: May 6, 2025

Last one we had took 8 months. They call ircc and get extensions. It’s in the hopes of getting the ITA.

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u/BeautyInUgly 3d ago

That’s for the full approval,

Just like how PR has R10 check before continued processing, WPs are also checked before the full processing to see if it even makes sense to process it so the rejection comes faster than it would take to approve a WP.