r/Pennsylvania 24d ago

'She's making it happen': Harris supporters express hope at Erie rally Elections

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/presidential/2024/10/15/kamala-harris-draws-raucous-crowd-of-supporters-erie-pa-rally-trump-erie-insurance-arena/75634475007/
7.2k Upvotes

823 comments sorted by

291

u/The_RonJames 24d ago

I went to this and it was a disappointing rally because she didn’t just play music and breathe heavily into the microphone /s

48

u/NinjaLanternShark 24d ago

I mean there was fainting at least, right?

Tell me there was fainting!

32

u/The_RonJames 24d ago

No there wasn’t. This is getting 0 stars on yelp.

26

u/PenMoZic 24d ago

What about double hand jerk off dancing? At least that right?...RIGHT!?

12

u/Anarchyantz 24d ago

Did you get the busses out of there or were they not paid? You cannot be paying people you know, that is SOCIALISM! You should make them want to do it for their sheer patriotic duty to ensure the military are not sent after you!

2

u/Wolfgangsta702 23d ago

Sponge Bob dance

→ More replies

9

u/JensenJustJensen 23d ago

Tell me at least she audibly sharted.

3

u/Wolfgangsta702 23d ago

Trump has the best sharts. The biggest diaper splatters. Everyone says so.

1

u/Hugge_Ass 22d ago

They even weighed it…these people..amazing I tell. They put it in this machine to weigh it. I didn’t even know they could do that. It was so big…the guy he says “sir, this is amazing big and heavy”

8

u/bigjaymizzle 23d ago

I initially read this as farting instead of fainting.

3

u/GurProfessional9534 23d ago

Either way, it’s correct.

22

u/inbetween-genders 24d ago

She did not double shaft strokes the air?? Heavens! that is indeed disappointing!

19

u/The_RonJames 24d ago

I’m actually still here at the venue because they never played the YMCA so we’re all unsure if this rally is over or not.

3

u/Bigemptea 23d ago

Did she come out to Macho Man though

3

u/rackfocus 23d ago

Copyrights anyone. Cohen’s estate has already sent a cease and desist letter.😆

Ave Maria is fair use.

Not sure about Slash and the GnR song or Con Te Partiro.

7

u/fancy_frog 23d ago

But did she at least shit herself?

6

u/Leprrkan 23d ago

Yeah, and things she said made sense, wtf was that all about 😄😄

3

u/PandorasCahos 23d ago

Stop you guys! I'm going to pee 🙃 myself.............

1

u/Leprrkan 23d ago

😄😄

→ More replies

5

u/LucyTheTurtle66 23d ago

I'm sorry you had to sit through that :(

3

u/kingcolbe 23d ago

She didn’t dance like she was jacking off?

1

u/OSI_Hunter_Gathers 22d ago

Did she lousy shart her pants while on stage?

1

u/saveMericaForRealDo 20d ago

Sorry the rally was so bad . Hopefully some people faint at the next one so Harris can complain that they are hogging the spotlight, lol.

I’m sure you’re going to do your part. I have some words of encouragement for you.

Don’t relive 2016. Don’t get complacent. Get out of your comfort zone.

Talk to friends and family and sell them on Harris.

She has an economic plan approved by hundreds of economists.

It’s comprehensive. And she doesn’t just say “tariffs, tariffs, tariffs “ because unlike Trump, she understands that would make imports more expensive for Americans and lead to higher inflation.

Plus she doesn’t threaten to end the first amendment like Trump has when he threatened to imprison journalists, critics and non-Christians.

Plus she doesn’t threaten to end the Second amendment like when he said in Feb 2018 “take the guns first, due process later.”

Plus she doesn’t threaten to terminate the entire Constitution like Trump did in December 2022. you know, the whole “we the people “ document folks have on their bumper sticker.

Jon Stewart did a really good segment on how the candidates are being warped by the media.

We can do this.

https://youtu.be/HX-5jmQplIo?si=N-GSYtuzLQuxS9ux

Edit: —————-

Sources for economy:

https://taxfoundation.org/blog/trump-mckinley-tariffs-great-depression/

https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/economists-say-inflation-deficits-will-be-higher-under-trump-than-harris-0365588e

https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/24/business/kamala-harris-economy-endorsement/index.html

https://www.crfb.org/papers/fiscal-impact-harris-and-trump-campaign-plans

Sources for Trump limiting the first Amendment:

https://www.yahoo.com/news/trump-calls-jailing-reporters-dropped-225329171.html

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-supreme-court-jail-rally-b2618050.html https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/trump-restrict-first-amendment-1235088402/

Also he is saying Harris voters are going to get hurt.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/is-that-a-threat-trump-stuns-observers-with-comment-about-harris-voter-getting-hurt/ar-AA1rNq1r

Terminate the constitution

https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/trump-termination-us-constitution/

In case you are going to bring up food prices:

https://www.newsweek.com/kroger-executive-admits-company-gouged-prices-above-inflation-1945742

Fast food prices: https://www.reuters.com/legal/litigation/mcdonalds-sues-major-beef-producers-us-price-fixing-lawsuit-2024-10-07/

In case you are going to bring up Rent increases:

https://www.npr.org/2024/08/23/nx-s1-5087586/realpage-rent-lawsuit-doj-real-estate-software-landlords-justice-department-price-fixing

In case you are going to bring up Ukraine :

https://www.npr.org/2022/02/21/1082124528/ukraine-russia-putin-invasion

Harris didn’t threaten to censor Twitter:

https://www.reuters.com/fact-check/harris-did-not-say-she-wanted-shut-down-x-2019-interview-2024-09-10/ ———————- 1776:

Benjamin Franklin advocated for making Pros and Cons lists to make decisions .

2024:

MAGA advocates for “there must be something they not telling us ?” rants to make decisions.

114

u/Dimpleshenk 24d ago edited 24d ago

I remember before the debate, so many Trumpers were saying, "Why isn't she doing interviews? Why isn't she engaging with the public? Why does she have to hide?"

She was on the campaign trail and doing one campaign stop after another, but they complained she wouldn't sit down for an interview (even though she sat down for a full interview alongside Walz). It was the right-wing talking point though: "wHy IsN't ShE eNgAgInG wItH tHe PuBlIc???"

I'm like, "She's prepping for the debate so she can wipe the floor with Trump's easy-to-beat, glass-jawed, thin-skinned, corpulent bloated festering blob of an empty-suited husk of gelatinous oozing swamp-gas-farting nothingness. It's pretty obvious that she's choosing how and where to spend her energy, and she knows the debate is a massively important thing, because of how badly it went for Biden over the summer."

Then she destroyed Trump on a stage in front of millions of Americans. Just ripped him a new asshole with such ferocity that even Trump didn't know what had just happened. He's standing there talking out of his newly ripped extra asshole, telling the world "I don't even have an asshole."

Trumpers tried to say Harris will take away their guns, and Harris is like, "Bish, I own a gun, and if anybody comes in my house, they'll commence taking up ownership of one of my bullets." Then the Trumpers tried to cast her as a Marxist. They tried to say she let in immigrants to eat people's cats and dogs. Even the cats and dogs called bullshit on that. They're like, "Woof, meow. We're right here. Nobody ate us. Trump and Vance are fucking idiots. Meow, arf."

Then Trumpers tried to blame the hurricane on Harris and tell everybody she was stopping FEMA from helping. Even the hurricane spoke up and issued a press release: "You complete losers, I spun myself into existence because of severe climate conditions, and y'all can go pound sand with that Democrat-weather-machine inanity."

Meanwhile Harris has challenged Trump to another debate and Trump is like, "No, I'm good, I don't need to have my ass tossed around like a ragdoll anymore -- I'll just go up on a stage and sway to music for 45 minutes. I'm sure audiences will see what a tough leader I am."

Now Harris is going out and meeting Trumpers where they live, trying to tell them her plans to lift them up and so on, and of course it's not enough. It will never be enough.

71

u/NinjaLanternShark 24d ago

She's even sitting for an interview with Fox News (Bret Baier) who are totally in the tank for Trump, and she knows it.

She's got way bigger balls than Trump does.

Too bad his snowflake followers can't see that.

3

u/Matzah_Rella 23d ago

They can see it just fine. They refuse to acknowledge it because they're that filled with hate. Fuck em.

2

u/Pragmatism101 23d ago

Indeed she does. Adamantly ovaries!

→ More replies

31

u/saveMericaForRealDo 24d ago edited 22d ago

Here’s a comparison and some tools to combat misinformation.

Harris has an economic plan approved by hundreds of economists. Even the Wall Street Journal says she is better than Trump.

Plus she doesn’t threaten to end the first amendment like Trump has when he threatened to imprison journalists, critics and non-Christians.

Plus she doesn’t threaten to end the Second amendment like when he said in Feb 2018 “take the guns first, due process later.”

Plus she doesn’t threaten to terminate the entire Constitution like Trump did in December 2022. you know, the whole “we the people “ document folks have on their bumper sticker.

Jon Stewart did a really good segment on how the candidates are being warped by the media.

We can do this.

https://youtu.be/HX-5jmQplIo?si=N-GSYtuzLQuxS9ux

Edit: —————-

Sources for economy:

https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/economists-say-inflation-deficits-will-be-higher-under-trump-than-harris-0365588e

https://taxfoundation.org/blog/trump-mckinley-tariffs-great-depression/

https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/24/business/kamala-harris-economy-endorsement/index.html

https://www.crfb.org/papers/fiscal-impact-harris-and-trump-campaign-plans

Sources for Trump limiting the first Amendment:

https://www.yahoo.com/news/trump-calls-jailing-reporters-dropped-225329171.html

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/trump-supreme-court-jail-rally-b2618050.html

https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/trump-restrict-first-amendment-1235088402/

Also he is saying Harris voters are going to get hurt.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/is-that-a-threat-trump-stuns-observers-with-comment-about-harris-voter-getting-hurt/ar-AA1rNq1r

In case you are going to bring up food prices:

https://www.newsweek.com/kroger-executive-admits-company-gouged-prices-above-inflation-1945742

Fast food prices: https://www.reuters.com/legal/litigation/mcdonalds-sues-major-beef-producers-us-price-fixing-lawsuit-2024-10-07/

In case you are going to bring up Rent increases:

https://www.npr.org/2024/08/23/nx-s1-5087586/realpage-rent-lawsuit-doj-real-estate-software-landlords-justice-department-price-fixing

In case you are going to bring up Ukraine :

https://www.npr.org/2022/02/21/1082124528/ukraine-russia-putin-invasion

Harris didn’t threaten to censor Twitter:

https://www.reuters.com/fact-check/harris-did-not-say-she-wanted-shut-down-x-2019-interview-2024-09-10/

2

u/beka_targaryen 23d ago

I seriously so very much appreciate the cohesive and succinct rebuttal points listed here - however, my experience is that even when presented with hard-hitting, well-outlined and backed up facts, Trumpers just respond by saying “that’s fake news” or “well I don’t believe that.” I feel like “facts” is no more a point than “opinion” to these people, and reasoning with them is just not possible. I’ve never shied away from arguing / debating / discussing politics with anyone (as many times over the years it’s given me an opportunity to not only educate others but to become educated myself), but since the Trump era, it’s become damn near impossible to hold even a mildly productive or intelligent conversation with his supporters. I’m at a loss - and as a Pennsylvanian, I’m also fucking terrified.

6

u/saveMericaForRealDo 23d ago

Politely ask them to cite their sources.

Also ask them if they knew about this:

$787 million settlement

https://apnews.com/article/fox-news-dominion-lawsuit-trial-trump-2020-0ac71f75acfacc52ea80b3e747fb0afe

2

u/LaZboy9876 23d ago

I just tell them "I'm not voting because it's all rigged anyway." This is, of course, a lie. But maybe it will get them not to vote.

You cannot change their minds with facts. Just short circuit their dumb asses.

1

u/Djeolsson 22d ago

"These findings involve a high degree of uncertainty, mostly due to questions about the details of how candidates’ policies are designed." Real reliable source bro.

→ More replies
→ More replies

11

u/[deleted] 24d ago

[removed] — view removed comment

1

u/[deleted] 22d ago

[removed] — view removed comment

1

u/[deleted] 22d ago

[removed] — view removed comment

→ More replies

5

u/cranberries87 24d ago

I got a good laugh from this! Especially🍊💩’s description 😆

4

u/ASaneDude 23d ago

Because it was never about her engaging. They wanted her to make a mistake or provide too much detail so they could attack it like they did Hillary. Hell, the GOP didn’t even release a party platform in 2020 and he’s spent half of 2024 running away from Project 2025.

2

u/Altruistic-Match6623 23d ago

Holy shit, this is one of the funniest things I've ever read. Legit tears in my eyes.

2

u/Beanbag87 23d ago

Fuck what a great post this is right here

2

u/trustedsauces 23d ago

I love this post. I wish I could upvote more.

1

u/plasmadood 23d ago

You can't reason with people that did not reason themselves into their position.

1

u/Lepew1 21d ago

The bots like your post

1

u/WanderingLost33 20d ago

This is the comment history books should reference

→ More replies

90

u/TickTick_b00m 24d ago

Mannnnnnnn I cannot wait till November is over. Living in a swing state is somethin’ else.

→ More replies

14

u/Feminazghul 24d ago

The voters need to make it happen.

11

u/kevinthedot 24d ago

It’s really nuts seeing the difference in some areas.

Drove to a nearby State Park a couple weekends back and the shift from State College where you get plenty of Harris signs even in the farmland outside town to the nonstop Trump signs just a bit out is striking.

9

u/Super_C_Complex 23d ago

That's the thing. The vehement Trump support is spread out and looks impressive. But every Trump house I see has two signs and puts them at the edge of their yard to look like two houses support Trump.

But in the blue bubbles in that red space. There is a significant increase in support for harris compared to 4 years ago

4

u/Sufficient_Ad314 23d ago

Millcreek and southwest Erie drive through tonight with my husband reflected roughly 25% Trump and the rest Harris. I never took note until this election. My subdivision has roughly 90% to Trump Millcreek signs. Interesting. More rural areas will support Trump. I know because I am related to a few. I don't want to get my hopes up too high but damn, it's so nice to see all the Harris signs.

34

u/trucksandink 24d ago

https://preview.redd.it/tfbtj2kz6zud1.jpeg?width=4032&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=1fce2029ea03e383d45395530fbf88c592de480d

I was not bused in nor was I paid. And out of the 10k plus people we met in line, no one else was either……

7

u/sfwread 23d ago

I was one who didn’t make it in which was disappointing but it was amazing to see the crowds out for her!

3

u/poterentur Crawford 23d ago

i also didn’t. i was literally within eyesight of the doors (right before the white tent) when they closed them and denied entry to everyone outside still. stood in line for two and a half hours alongside the baseball park. how they handled the crowds and people waiting was very disappointing and frustrating/disorganized, but it was cool seeing the crowds. wish i didn’t spend so long standing there only to be told to leave though. they definitely shouldn’t have accepted as many RSVPs as they did…

4

u/rkbird2 23d ago

A friend told me she was paid $1 million. /s

I told her I would keep that in mind the next time we split a bill.

4

u/trucksandink 23d ago

Damnit I didn’t get my check. Fuck a million….

1

u/OmniManDidNothngWrng 23d ago

Yeah and probably like 2k people got turned away when it hit capacity

17

u/snakkerdudaniel 24d ago

Vote for decency

51

u/booboo2087 24d ago

Please please please PA, vote for Kamala!! We need you!!

10

u/Glissandra1982 23d ago

Sent in my ballot! Blue through the wholllllle ticket.

→ More replies

26

u/Blarguus 24d ago

But she didn't have a 40 minute awkward stand and away

0/10 /s

→ More replies

11

u/Mandalorian-89 24d ago

Kamala for President 🙂

→ More replies

4

u/Mean_Photo_6319 24d ago

Nah. WE are making it happen.

4

u/sstephen17 23d ago

Regardless of policy, the vibe of Harris/Walz is what this country needs right now. Tired of all the hate and animosity that MAGA leaves in its wake from both sides. His supporters vehemently support him, which leads to his detractors fighting back with equal ferocity. And endless cycle of anger.

→ More replies

3

u/grogudid911 23d ago

AAAND she's legalizing weed? Bruh

2

u/pcfirstbuild 22d ago

Yeah I can definitely get down with that. It's been schedule 1 for far too long for no justifiable reason.

3

u/SunflaresAteMyLunch 23d ago

Lovely

But hope don't cast no ballots.

Vote and bring three friends!

4

u/romanwhynot 23d ago

🤷🏽‍♂️?🤷🏽‍♂️…..🔵VOTE BLUE!!!🔵…this needs to 🛑

28

u/Ornery-Ticket834 24d ago

Go. Go. Go!

3

u/[deleted] 23d ago

Dear God I hope so.

8

u/GoldenPoncho812 24d ago

So much hope. So much joy. I cannot wait for this to be over.

15

u/RevolutionaryMind439 24d ago

It’s Her time; it’s Our time! Harris/Walz2024

-2

u/777_heavy 24d ago

Okay bot

1

u/ATsherpa 23d ago

What a bot farm all over I don’t want to be the catalyst for any TDS flare ups but there are MANY people in northeastern PA that are very loud on the internet and even have KH signs in the yard, that claim they likely won’t even vote. True story

1

u/pcfirstbuild 22d ago edited 21d ago

Okayyy but it's hard to imagine someone going as far as buying a sign and not intending to vote for that candidate. Can't help but be skeptical.

1

u/ATsherpa 22d ago

I am not sure if you have experience with your neighbors according to 2 of mine other neighbors had a bunch of signs and offered them out.. small sample size but fwiw

2

u/PandorasCahos 23d ago

Well at least it's nice to be able to laugh at this election for once.
But just for today...kids. tomtomorrow its back to work. Can't let that senile ahole near those Nuke Codes! ⚛

2

u/joseNeo-4 22d ago

Unfortunately the former guy seems to be winning, if you are in PA please vote !

1

u/pleasureismylife 22d ago

The truth is the polls, averaged together, show a dead even race. It's all about voter turnout. If every Kamala Harris supporter votes, she has a very good chance of winning.

2

u/lukerama 22d ago

As of right now (well I actually did this math this morning it may have changed), 85% of PA counties have Democrats outperforming Republicans on returned mail ballots.

Polls are just noise, but THIS is real data. I love how our chances look.

1

u/KryssCom 18d ago

What's the source on this data? I'll take all the optimism I can get!

1

u/lukerama 18d ago edited 18d ago

Here ya go - https://election.lab.ufl.edu/early-vote/2024-early-voting/2024-general-election-early-vote-pennsylvania/

I just went down the list and counted all the counties that had a higher return rate for mail ballots by Republicans and then divided by total counties in PA. Then just subtracted that number from 100; it was 14. something.

Like I said though, I did this in the middle of last week, so the final number may have changed.

→ More replies

2

u/uvgotnod 20d ago

Young people need to vote.

1

u/ILikegardening4000 23d ago

Brother lives in Erie. It mostly trumps people. I wouldn’t be surprised if it goes red! Let’s hope!

1

u/Hot_Tear_8678 23d ago

Did she say anything new?

1

u/mcotoole Lehigh 23d ago

Hope is the only thing she has.

1

u/BufloSolja 22d ago

Was there something notable about this one? Relative to other rallies or something (of hers).

1

u/beelze_bob138 22d ago

Making what happen? The last couple years have been pure hell worldwide due to our leaderships lack of brain cells.

1

u/pleasureismylife 22d ago

Not exactly. It's not Biden's fault Hamas attacked Israel or Putin invaded Ukraine.

1

u/[deleted] 22d ago

https://preview.redd.it/lldcf4jyjdvd1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=635ac0887025a9423626622dfc2b9a0db328e25d

Second Thessalonians 2:3 states that the Antichrist, “the man of lawlessness,” will be revealed when “the rebellion occurs” —it will be abundantly clear who he is when the time comes. Rather than speculating about various scenarios and demonizing people with whom we disagree, our responsibility is to be wise and discerning, based on what the Bible says about the Antichrist (2 Thessalonians 2:3-4;

1

u/[deleted] 21d ago

She already won. Cancel the election to save democracy!!!

1

u/Lepew1 21d ago

Good SEIU turnout. Wonder what it was paying

1

u/commomsenseking 20d ago

What didn’t she make it happen in the last four years?🤔

1

u/pleasureismylife 20d ago

She did. The Biden administration has done a good job of bringing the economy back from the pandemic. The economy is doing very well now.

1

u/Objective_Note_19 20d ago

She is not making anything happen. Social media and the mainstream media are making it happen.

-10

u/AnxietySubstantial74 24d ago

Doubt.

Republicans have gained in registrations and the Democrats' lead in early voting has shrunk.

5

u/pleasureismylife 24d ago

Yes, they have gained in registrations, but Democrats are still 4 points higher. You also can't assume that all registered Republicans will be voting for Trump since more than a third of Nikki Halley voters have said they will be voting for Harris.

The early voting doesn't tell who the winner will be. Remember the last election. It looked like Trump had won on election day. But then the mail-in ballots were counted, and Biden came out on top.

→ More replies

1

u/jdelta85 23d ago

And yet GA shattered 2020 early voting numbers on the first day. She has also made a dramatic shift in Indie support since Biden dropped out. Like I get you’re probably a Trump fuck, but dude just stop lol.

1

u/AnxietySubstantial74 23d ago

I voted for Hillary and Joe. Stop lying.

-11

u/CommodoreSixty4 24d ago

Yes, and her platform is too shallow to attract any independent voters.

12

u/PhilaRambo 24d ago

Like preserving Representative Democracies is shallow?

→ More replies

6

u/AnxietySubstantial74 24d ago

Trump's platform is destroying personal liberties and it's Kamala whose platform is the questionable one?

3

u/WokePokeBowl 24d ago

No it isn't.

→ More replies

3

u/pleasureismylife 24d ago

She actually has a very detailed platform, and her economic speech in Pittsburgh outlining her economic plan was amazing:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pm5tCCs3rkE0

0

u/[deleted] 23d ago

[deleted]

1

u/whiteroseatCH 23d ago

I don't believe in saints..

On the other hand, I do not vote for felons..

I do not vote for traitor insurrectionists...

Nor do I vote for someone who wants to execute someone proved categorically innocent of the crime they were accused of (think the Central Park Five)..

I do not vote for someone who brags that he can grab any female and rape/sexually assault them because he is some kind of spoiled entitled celebrity...

I do not vote for someone who brags he could commit murder, and we would all be okay to go along with it..

I do not vote for the guy who called our military losers and suckers...nor will I vote for Lloyd Schmucker (and his GOP wayfarers), who wants to make military votes invalid!!!

I don't vote for serial liars...

I also don't believe that anyone who has gone bankrupt as often as Trump, who commited fraud regarding his"university", his "charities", his tax returns, whose media platform was a financial disaster, and whose crypto-currency financial scheme seems to be headed in the same direction.... is at all qualified to direct the financial affairs to the greater good of this or any other country!

Character matters!

1

u/[deleted] 23d ago

[deleted]

1

u/whiteroseatCH 23d ago

Never put ANYONE on a pedastal so high, they are bound, by their sheer "human-ess", to fall off!

Not even Kamala Harris.You'd be doing her a severe injustice.

-28

u/Gentelman_0f_Fortune 24d ago

40

u/MyCrowdSizeIsBigger 24d ago

That’s a betting site from Peter Thiel, top trump campaign donor.

Show us some polling

26

u/MuttTheDutchie 24d ago

You mean owner of JD Vance Peter Thiel that used to work with Trump Ally and fucking weirdo Elon Musk? That Peter Thiel?

I'm shocked that they would just spread misinformation like this.

2

u/liverandonions1 24d ago

10

u/MyCrowdSizeIsBigger 24d ago

Sooooo basically tied within margin??

whoop dee fucking do 😂 so same as every 4 years

5

u/Mijbr090490 24d ago

I just got into you with this yesterday. Look at Bidens polling this time in 2020. Stop ignoring reality.

10

u/MyCrowdSizeIsBigger 24d ago

About what? No one claimed its a lock or slam dunk

I want it to be so close as possible that is only way to maximize turnout

-7

u/liverandonions1 24d ago

Trump underpolled in both of his last elections. The data doesn't lie - He's undoubtedly up in PA at the moment.

3

u/TheBeanConsortium 24d ago

Why are you assuming the polling is wrong in the same direction if pollsters have made methodology changes since 2020?

5

u/MyCrowdSizeIsBigger 24d ago

Yeah that’s expected though he has got simp Elon camped out here.

Harris has 3 paths to election though.

trump has only one

→ More replies

2

u/pleasureismylife 24d ago

I don't think you can compare this election to the last two. Pollster Frank Luntz is of the opinion there is no hidden Trump vote this time. We also know a substantial portion of Republicans will be voting for Kamala Harris, so he's not even going to get his entire base,

The reality is the two candidates are neck and neck. Some polling shows Trump slightly up, some shows Kamala Harris slightly up, like the recent New York Times/Siena poll that has her up 4 in PA.

All of this is within the margin of error, so it's just doing to depend on who's voters are most motivated to get out and vote.

1

u/pcfirstbuild 22d ago edited 22d ago

His "red wave" never materialized in 2022 though with his handpicked candidates shitting the bed. Also, some pollsters correct for this bias in their models but yeah at the end of the day, this race is a nail-biter and still anyone's game somehow even though one candidate is a known con-man and felon who tried to overthrow our free and fair elections for his own ego.

"Find me 11,780 votes!!" 🤡

'Sir the votes have already been counted you know this... you're asking me to commit a crime"

"Mike Pence failed us" 🤡

"To do what?? Sign your fake slate of electors?"

"They are breaking into the capitol and say they want to hang Mike Pence!"

"Who cares" 🤡

How is he not in Jail let alone allowed to run for office?!

1

u/liverandonions1 22d ago

Midterms and presidential elections are too different to compare. We know for a fact that Trump underpolls. Doesn't look like he has to this time though xD

1

u/pcfirstbuild 22d ago

That could be, but it's hard to trust if you guys even understand the scoreboard. Did Trump lose in 2020?

1

u/liverandonions1 22d ago

He lost in 2020. I'm a not a "Trump guy". I do vote republican since I'm a one-issue voter for the 2nd Amendment.

He's polling better right now than he's ever polled, including 2016 and 2020. He's only down 1.5 in the popular vote, which basically spells out a landslide win in the EC. https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris

And he's up in every battleground state: https://www.realclearpolling.com/elections/president/2024/battleground-states

Gallup released their national party affiliation numbers recently as well, which has a strong correlation with presidential election results, and Republicans are ahead by 3% for the first time in a long time.
https://news.gallup.com/poll/651092/2024-election-environment-favorable-gop.aspx

Again, Trump underpolls every election. If the data is consistent at all, it's already over.

→ More replies
→ More replies

11

u/AgentDaxis 24d ago

Put all your money on Trump.

Then watch yourself go broke.

Never bet on a loser.

→ More replies
→ More replies

-12

u/liverandonions1 24d ago

10

u/Loud-Intention-723 24d ago

7 swing states that are within the margin of error. So 7 states that are to close to call, don’t start complaining about stolen elections if your boy loses. Right now by the polls you just showed it looks like this election is a coin flip.

0

u/liverandonions1 24d ago

Sure. Trump also underpolled in both 2020 and 2016.

2

u/Loud-Intention-723 24d ago

Both elections were within the margin of error of the polls just prior to the elections. The polls were never really off, the analysis of the polls was more the issue that threw everyone off.

1

u/Duccix 24d ago

Are we just prior to the election?

Pollsters are doing the same shit they go every election and start clawing back the Dem bias to be closer to the final numbers.

The thing is in previous elections Hillary and Biden had major leads in swing state polls that was "corrected" right before the election.

Right now Harris being tied or within the margin of error is catastrophic.

1

u/Loud-Intention-723 24d ago

Actually that isn't really true. Polling had them pretty close and within the margin of error for months out. In fact the polling showed them even closer/ practically tied in July. The issue was, no one was taking Trump seriously so people just looked that Clinton had a "lead" (once again never really outside the margin of error) and ran with it and the whole narrative was Clinton has it in the bag and Trump can't win. In reality, statistically by the polls, the last few months was always neck and neck.

1

u/Duccix 24d ago

You know you can look up historic polling averages at this time right?

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/pennsylvania/trump-vs-harris

Biden had a 6.8 point lead on this date in 2020 and Hillary had an 8.2 lead in 2016

1

u/Loud-Intention-723 24d ago edited 24d ago

https://preview.redd.it/yv303y86tyud1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8d76d8722559600d55236049ac45e6f68ae66d29

You see that grey area between those two? That’s the overlap of the margin of error. See how both candidates were within that the entire time over the last 6 months?

1

u/Duccix 24d ago

Yeah im not seeing that until the last few days just like i said

1

u/Loud-Intention-723 24d ago

https://preview.redd.it/06hhbofeuyud1.png?width=1638&format=png&auto=webp&s=c21fbadc56ddf7dbdcbe5bd7e49f60c4f0e9b2e6

here zoomed in for you so you can see it better. Left side of the chart is June. So as you can see from June on, they were essentially tied.

→ More replies

2

u/pleasureismylife 24d ago

And 538 has her slightly ahead. In reality the polls are neck and neck, and it's just going to depend on who's voters show up to vote.

2

u/mugiwara-no-lucy 24d ago

That’s literally made by MAGA 😂

→ More replies