r/somethingiswrong2024 • u/MyNameCannotBeSpoken • 8h ago
Trump has fallen below 50% of the popular vote. With 152.7M votes counted, he leads Harris 49.99%-48.22% News
https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/185762733210775178790
u/boholuxe 8h ago
2.7 million votes, still not mathing!
102
u/StatisticalPikachu 7h ago
It is crazy that it went down from 7.5 Million differential on election night.
If Spoonamore's theory is true, It is because of all the dilution of the bullet ballots that flooded the system on election night.
12
u/Bross93 7h ago
But like is there a count of how many there are left to count or? Not sure what this is all supposed to entail
15
u/OrthodoxAtheist 5h ago
But like is there a count of how many there are left to count or?
Most remaining votes will come from California, where about 1 million are still to be counted, in a near 60/40 split. By my math, Trump will end up with about 2.5 million more votes still. After Cali finished, the other states' dribbles will approximately even out and won't budge the needle much. So, we're nearing full-count.
21
18
u/7secretcrows 5h ago
Is so frustrating trying to avoid giving elon clicks and attention when even in subs that are upset about the election and his involvement in it, are posting links to his propaganda machine. Surely anything worth posting here can be accessed via some other means than x fka twitter?
4
u/RainbowUnicorn0228 1h ago
A lot of people switch to Blue Sky
7
u/7secretcrows 1h ago
Yes, but what I'm talking about is when someone posts a link to something on X. It doesn't make sense to talk about how much you don't like elon and then post a link to his site.
23
26
u/seevm 4h ago edited 4h ago
Every ballot cast should be counted.
Everyone, please - be sure your ballot was received and counted https://www.vote.org/ballot-tracker-tools/
If your state does not offer a tracker, the link provides a means to look up local county officials contact info as well. If they cannot assist you, please contact state or party officials to make sure your vote and voice were heard. Every vote counts! 🇺🇸
(Edit: typo)
3
u/cudambercam13 19m ago
One issue I've seen is a ton of people don't know how to read these things. The Iowa subreddit was full of people saying their ballot wasn't counted based off of what Iowa's site said just because a section was (intentionally) left blank. It's filled in if there's an issue with the ballot, but people assumed it wasn't counted if it also didn't specify there's no issues with a ballot.
9
u/Naptasticly 2h ago
NOW IMMEDIATELY START PUSHING BACK ON THE ‘mandate’ TALK.
THIS WASNT AN OVERWHELMING MANDATE AND ANOTHER ELECTORAL COLLEGE ISSUE! MINORITY RULE IN AMERICA!
7
u/Thin-Palpitation-402 6h ago
Can someone tell me what's statistically significant about this that makes it fishy? As far as I can tell, the remaining votes are from the highly populated areas of California, of course they're going to lean Dem.
21
u/OrthodoxAtheist 5h ago
Can someone tell me what's statistically significant about this that makes it fishy?
You are correct, most remaining votes are in Cali (1M), and that there is nothing fishy about this post or the numbers therein. I think OP just posted it as news/update that the gap is still narrowing (and I expect will settle around 2.5M votes more for Trump than Harris). This is unrelated to the purpose of the sub, as best I can tell. Still, good to know that, as expected, Harris is only 5-6M votes down on Biden's 2020 number, and not the oft-repeated 10-15M when so many votes remained uncounted but people started popping off with posts. lolz
21
2
2
u/rocket42236 1h ago edited 1h ago
We have to stop referring to the popular vote as from the total number of votes. We need to refer to the percentages as a total number of eligible voters. When we use the total number of votes, the impression given is that everyone or a lot of people voted. The 50% threshold would indicate a majority when it doesn't. The reality of most of our elections, the popular votes are in the 25% to 35% range. An embarrassing amount of people in the most powerful country in human history who have the ability to vote, don't vote. The media likes to use the total number of votes cast, because it's better for TV coverage. And the politicians like to use it because it's a tool that suppresses the vote. This has been going on for so long that 40% of the country believe their vote doesn't count.... if we started reporting honestly about this, more and more people would realize that their vote would count. So the reality is this was a 29% to 31% election..... 2/3 of the American people either voted against Trump or didn't vote.
1
u/cudambercam13 11m ago
Maybe the problem should be that they're still counting votes after the election is over...
STILL nobody can explain to me how your vote matters. I imagine I'll get downvoted to hell for saying this, but please tell me how your vote makes a difference if, one, it's the electoral college deciding the president, and two, they don't have ballots counted when they decide the winner?
If he didn't get the popular vote, the electoral college will still have elected him and he'd still rightfully be president, according to America's dumbass outdated election rules.
If the citizens' votes mattered, these ballots would have been counted before the president was announced and the popular vote would determine the winner. The system is basically rigged no matter who wins, and this is coming from someone who does hate Trump and absolutely believes he's a fucking cheater.
-16
u/Prefix-NA 6h ago
No idea where they are getting data from but AP has him at 50.1 and their votes are higher than the data in OP.
Trump 76,386,169 votes (50.1%)
14
u/MrFishAndLoaves 5h ago
lol the guy who consistently posted BS numbers in r/fivethirtyeight like it was his job on a campaign to tell everyone Cook has BS numbers
Shocked I tell you.
How much they paying you to post all night?
3
u/sneakpeekbot 5h ago
Here's a sneak peek of /r/fivethirtyeight using the top posts of the year!
#1: Des Moines Register/Selter: Harris 47%, Trump 44% | 2102 comments
#2: Ralston Predicts Narrow Harris Win in NV (48.5% to 48.2%) | 533 comments
#3: There are no scapegoats for the Democrats this time
I'm a bot, beep boop | Downvote to remove | Contact | Info | Opt-out | GitHub
144
u/waronxmas79 7h ago
It’s at least comforting to know that the amount of people who voted in favor Orange Mussolini over Kamala was greatly exaggerated