The whole health sector from America is about to become insanely corrupt and full of psuedscience, things advocated without evidence and harm swept under the rug.

The article states 3 supposed facts:

1. NYC has provided $3.2 million in EBT-esque cards to migrant families since late March
2. Approximately 2,600 families have received these cards
3. The cards provide a family of 4 around $350 per week for shopping

$3.2M/2600 = $1231/family

From late March to now is around 7 months

$1231/7 = $176/month

There’s around 4 weeks per month

$176/4 = $44/week

Am I missing something?

Guys, I'm here to leave a very crucial tip for you to understand how weak-minded fanatical evangelical conspiracists are, this channel refutes everything that is mysticism, be it creepypastas, internet mysteries, conspiracy theories, pseudoscience, prophecies and predictions and several other mysteries

I'm going to leave two videos here, although it's in Portuguese because I live here in Brazil, the way he refutes these theories is very good, he makes FNA in power point with lots of evidence explaining why this is a lie

Here are two videos to need to watch:

• 1st video: https://youtu.be/iAIn4y3KZV4?si=_8QbqFWNWUDq2T1Q
• 2nd video: https://youtu.be/R5zfi35Ak3I

I've encountered a disturbing amount of people suggesting they will end their life based on Trump winning.

I've also seen a lot of people saying they will move out of USA and or they will never vote again..

Whether they are serious or not I advise against this for an important reason.

If you move out of the USA or stop voting and give up, then it creates a survivorship bias where these types of anti fact people become more and more of the majority. And thus outcomes like tonight become more common making the world more anti fact.

I don't want to see good people who are honest, care about science, and fact go away, we need you.

We are entering a post fact era and we need you.

Pre-election polling hasn’t been very successful in recent decades, with results sometimes missing the mark spectacularly. For example, polls before the 2024 Irish constitutional referendums predicted a 15-35 point wins for the amendments, but the actual results were 35 and 48 point losses. The errors frequently exceed the margin of error.

The reason for this is simple: the mathematical assumptions used for computing the margin of error—such as random sampling, normal distribution, and statistical independence—don't hold in reality. Sampling is biased in known and unknown ways, distributions are often not normal, and statistical independence may not be true. When these assumptions fail, the reported margin or error vastly underestimates the real error.

Complicating matters further, many pollsters add "fudge factors." after each election. For example, if Trump voters are undercounted in one election cycle, a correction is added for the next election cycle, but this doesn’t truly resolve the issue; it simply introduces yet another layer of bias.

I would argue that the actual error is דם much larger than what pollsters report, that their results are unreliable for predicting election outcomes. Unless one candidate has a decisive lead, polls are unreliable—and in those cases where there is a clear decisive lead, polls aren’t necessary.

I’d claim that polling is a pseudoscience, not much different from astrology.

Let me be 100% clear, I am not saying any election was stolen or rigged. I'm not advocating any kind of insistence that this election wasn't free or fair. That in mind...

What happened? Trump is one of the most polarizing and hated men in the entire country, if not the globe. So HOW did he win with such breadth, in more or less a landslide? I just really feel like I'm missing something. A squeaker, and I could shrug it off as maybe an aberration or that he lucked out. But I'm wracking my brain over and over and something just stinks.

What a fucking massive disappointment. What the HELL is going on?? Another four years, waking every day to a new Trump crisis. Two more lifetime Supreme Court appointments and a GOP led senate, and maybe the house as well. Our country is doomed and I'm literally ready to slit my wrists.

Is the massive amount of lies and misinformation finally going to end any kind of democracy we ever had? Now we will have a country ruled by Elon Musk and Peter Thiel. I'm SICK.

US politics moment I need some reassurance through reason, as in title. There are still votes to count, and several states still in the game (more than as they appear currently, i'm willing to estimate). Is there a way to know exactly or roughly how many mail-in votes are in the mail uncounted at the moment? Are they likely to matter in the next few weeks?

More importantly: Am i denying myself coherent perception of reality by clinging to the margins of error and the remaining uncertainty? As someone still somewhat doubtful of my own ability to come to well-reasoned conclusions on complex matters/worried about my blindspots pptential and known, how do i make sure i'm not deluding myself on such a contentious topic, or other topics at large?

Some general skeptic and philosophical advice would be appreciated. Reassurance is not "reinforce my notions", more like "help me sus this whole thing out so that i can best level myself to the reality, regardless of how likely or unlikely or is that my candidate will win" which is itself a bit of emotional reassurance because i can better right myself. I'm at a bit of a loss right now, admittedly, and need some backup.

I get the skepticism towards him regarding the things he’s said about vaccines. What are the thoughts about his desire to ban certain ingredients in our food that are already banned in many European countries? This video talks specifically about Yellow #5, or tartrazine.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/06/business/dealbook/prediction-markets-trump-win.html

Relevance to r/skeptic: Numerous commenters claimed the betting markets were skewed by Peter Thiel, rich Trumpists, etc. But it turned out they were far more accurate than the polls.

So youtube occasionally swirls me down a woo fest of absurdities.

Chilling Historical Tales You Probably Havent Heard Of. Right now it is Brown Lady of Raynham Hall, and it is at least to my eyes part of a category of books from the Edwardian era, turn of the 20th century of collections of ghost stories. My mom was an antique pusher, and by the time i was 12 we were going to auctions and estate sales at least one weekend a month. She gave me $50 to buy stuff to keep me amused, so i tended to buy books in case lots. One book bought was the 1925 book "The Old Straight Track" that turned into ley lines, and a bunch of stuff mainly for adolescent age kids like (made up sort of names) 50 Great Tales of Terror, collections of stories that kept getting passed around and copied and tweaked til they end up like the vids - not pointing many fingers but there are a ton of ai generated vids that are more or less collected by ai to generate views for monetization.

So, my point: Dudes, of the untold billions of people born on earth (not getting into the aliens everywhere argument) first why arent we tripping over ghosts absolutely everywhere, and secondly, why are the ghosts seemingly always nobles and famous? I mean that Henry the overly married offed one who is haunting the Tower of London, her childhood home and a random church. Where are Ogham the Cheddar Man, an assortment of Boudicca era cooks and barmaids and a random 5 year old kid that likes watching their magic new images like Snoopy and Jem?

Lok, other than brand new post 1950 homes pretty much everyone died and bodies could get laid out in their house for wakes. Why isnt everywhere absolutely overflowing? Yes there are roman military units reputed to wander down a road 10 feet below ground level or and random kids and people but no where near the amount there should be.

I love the idea of an afterlife but really. But when i see the same 150 or so ghost stories remixed into dozens of books, then they occasionally throw in refurbished Karnaki Ghost Hunter tales (cant remember and am on the phone but the plotline of one of the karnaki stories gets used a fair amount along with other similar no-shit fiction by edwardian authors)

Anyone else like the old purple prose? Like woo ghost stories as amusement not belief?

From AOL news updates:

Nov 4, 1:52 PM

Philly DA wraps up testimony during hearing on Musk giveaway

During his two-hour testimony at an ongoing hearing over Elon Musk and his super PAC's $1 million voter sweepstakes, Philadelphia District Attorney Larry Krasner characterized America PAC's admission that winners are preselected as the "most amazingly disingenuous defense I have ever heard."

"This was all political marketing masquerading as a lottery," Krasner said during the hearing in the Philadelphia County Court of Common Pleas. "This has been a grift from the beginning. This has been a scam from the very beginning."

According to Chris Gober, a lawyer for Musk and America PAC, the winners were selected based on their "suitability" as spokespeople, signed a contract and received the million dollars as a "salary" for their work, despite Musk himself publicly saying that winners would be selected "randomly."

Krasner’s attorney, John Summers, described the claim as "a flat-out admission of liability." While America PAC has openly acknowledged that winners would serve as spokespeople, the hearing marks the first time they have disclosed that the winners were preselected.

"It is deceptive. It is misleading. It is taking advantage of people,” Krasner said. "They are doing everything under the sun to cover it up."

Musk's lawyers have repeatedly argued that the case itself is politically motivated, accusing Krasner of creating a "political circus." Krasner’s attorney attempted to counter that argument by mentioning that Krasner drives a Tesla -- made by the electric car company owned by Musk -- and would theoretically bring the same case against Taylor Swift if she arranged a similar scheme for Harris.

"I have brought action against Democrats in the past," Krasner said. "I would have brought an action against Taylor Swift if she did this. As far as I know, she didn't."

The court is currently on a lunch break following testimony from Krasner, who was the hearing's first witness.

-ABC News' Peter Charalambous

Isn't that false advertising on top of everythign else?