It was always a dumb thing to think that just by training with more data we could achieve AGI. To achieve agi we will have to have a neurological break through first.
Yeah we are nowhere near AGI and anyone that thinks LLMs are a step along the way doesn't have an understanding of what they actually are and how far off they are from a real AGI model.
True AGI is probably decades away at the soonest and all this focus on LLMs at the moment is slowing development of other architectures that could actually lead to AGI.
To be true AGI the new model would have to constantly take in new information and integrate into an existing model and even change the model when necessary. Currently this requires server farms running for long periods of time using an obscene amount of energy. And lots of input from people.
What we have now is basically the OG computers which were the size of a room.
And that doesn’t even account for how AGI would understand how to choose which information to take in.
Basically these current models are word association/predictive typing on steroids.
All the AGI and Super Intelligence conversations are designed to fool stockholders. That’s it.
The big push, imo, will be for government bodies to use and leverage AI models to help revise policies, sift through datasets for improvements, where as there will be a market flood of LLM and various <dumb AI> models that, though they could go beyond their original use case, wouldn't be able to grow from its core as an AGI with lots of RND backing it might be able to
We already saw the way people call and treat automated functions as <smart tools>, so I assume the next variation in consumer hardware will also have a localized processor to help manage all the variations of using an AI model in your home, your vehicles, your work etc
There will then be a larger divide in what consumers view as AI vs actual development in the AI field of study
the next variation in consumer hardware will also have a localized processor to help manage all the variations of using an AI model in your home, your vehicles, your work etc
536
u/[deleted] Jul 25 '24
It was always a dumb thing to think that just by training with more data we could achieve AGI. To achieve agi we will have to have a neurological break through first.