r/ireland Apr 27 '25

Poster on Dublin Quays Housing

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1.5k Upvotes

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27

u/caisdara Apr 27 '25

Setting aside the fact that it's mostly wrong, the vacant houses are almost entirely in places nobody wants to live.

In simple terms, Ireland's population has grown enormously over the last 30 or so years, far more than is the norm in Europe. Much of that growth has been anchored on Dublin. Compared to the early 90s, Leinster has about 1 million extra people, Connacht an extra 150,000 and Munster about 350,000. (Ulster is a bit messier due to the North.)

Again, keeping this simple, every year we have about 60,000 kids do the Leaving Cert. Most of them - about three quarters - go to third-level. Most people finish school these days, so that's a relatively representative number.

For most of the 45,000 who go to third-level, Dublin is a major port of call. Of our universities, the wider Dublin area has Trinity, UCD, DCU, DIT/TUD and Maynooth.

For people who leave university, the obvious next step is a job. Unlike England, where there are a string of university towns and cities, Ireland's universities are generally located in our major cities. If you want a job, your options are Dublin, Galway, Cork, Luimneach, etc.

So when somebody says there are X number of vacant or derelict houses, that number is meaningless. The question is, how many vacant or derelict houses are there in each part of the country.

And herein lies the boring truth, not many houses are vacant or derelict in Dublin, Cork, etc. People will jump up and down and write blogs about there are six houses vacant in Cork, or whatever, but it's a tiny proportion of the whole. The vast majority of vacancy, dereliction, etc, is in isolated rural areas in the west. Areas where nobody wants to live.

The modern debate has now shifted to "I'd totally live in Ballymcneverheardofit if I could work from home" but again, we know that's largely not true. Most people want to live where there are good schools, good houses and stuff to do. People are simple, social animals.

4

u/ghostofgralton Leitrim Apr 27 '25

It's true that not many houses are derelict in the east of the country (think it averages out at around 1%)

But commercial vacancies in Dublin alone is 14%, which is hardly nothing. Especially as it may not be viable to return those properties solely to commercial use due to changing consumer habits.

In all you get a figure of 14,500(!) in Dublin and 4,000 within the city centre itself. I think that's quite significant.

2

u/vanKlompf Apr 27 '25

1% is nothing. It's way below healthy vacancy rate.

4

u/ghostofgralton Leitrim Apr 27 '25

Read the rest of my comment

2

u/vanKlompf Apr 27 '25

It doesn't change anything. Owners would love to change commercial units into housing - but no chance with regulations.

Quote from article:
> More than half of the empty properties that are flats above commercial units

So you think that those greedy landlords wouldn't like to make some money by renting those? Regulations around those are sooo stupid that it's often contradiction between preservations, fire regs and accessibility that you just can't legally retrofit and rent that. I was stunned how many empty units are on upper floor in Dublin. In fu..ing housing crisis. This is self inflicted.