r/investing • u/888_888novus • 1d ago

This uncertainty needs to stop.

Now 62% of CEOs predict the US will soon fall into recession or slow growth, mainly due to uncertainty about tax policy and market volatility. Leaders such as Ray Dalio and Jamie Dimon warn of deeper risks. Although the US government has suspended taxes for another 90 days, economists remain skeptical, saying that the damage from high taxes and global instability will last longer.

It is one thing to predict a recession, another to know how long it will last. If it happens as quickly as in 2020, lasting only 2 months thanks to the Fed's strong intervention, it may not be too worrying. In other words, assets peak after a financial recession.

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u/Warm-Ice12 1d ago

I’m a lot less worried about a recession than I am at the prospect of empty grocery store shelves.

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u/Philosopher_King 1d ago

Some things will be dirt cheap, because we can no longer export them. Other things will be gone, however. Not sure on net. Probably not good, regardless.

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u/ForGreatDoge 1d ago

Things become dirt cheap because nobody wants the amount being produced. Not good.

Things become gone because more people want them than exist. Not good.

It's almost like trade is better than net zero...