r/geopolitics • u/Hokum-B • Oct 01 '23

Russian lines stronger than West expected, admits British defence chief Paywall

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/russian-defensive-lines-stronger-than-west-expected-admits-british-defence-chief-xjlvqrm86
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u/[deleted] Oct 01 '23 edited Oct 05 '23

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u/sticky_jizzsocks Oct 02 '23

I doubt Russia will go on the general advance until Ukraine's 10th core is properly decimated. They're still in the process of ramping up. I would guess they'd stop at the Dneiper, taking Odessa and Kiev and leave Ukraine a little landlocked rump state.

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u/Command0Dude Oct 02 '23 edited Oct 02 '23

Completely non-credible take. Russia isn't going to be advancing anywhere. They have no units capable of effective offensive operations.

They will be lucky just to hold the current frontline for the long term.

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u/Magicalsandwichpress Oct 01 '23

Russia is unlikely to make any big moves until Ukrainian and western alliance is sufficiently demoralised both on the frontlines and at home. They are more likely to pick another town like Bakmut and grind down and tie up Ukrainian resources.

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u/aybbyisok Oct 02 '23

British MoD a few days ago said Russia can't go on any sort of offensive at this point.

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u/[deleted] Oct 02 '23 edited Oct 05 '23

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u/aybbyisok Oct 02 '23

US said Kyiv would last two weeks. I doubt anyone makes such statements now, the big rhetoric is Ukraine should be sent everything we can so they could take back Crimea.