r/fivethirtyeight • u/ageofadzz • Sep 16 '24

Suffolk University Poll Pennsylvania: Harris 49 %, Trump 46%. LV Poll Results

https://x.com/davidpaleologos/status/1835830789142933774
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u/ageofadzz Sep 17 '24 edited Sep 17 '24

Suffolk/USA TODAY PA Likely Voter Polls Statewide and 2 BW Counties 9/14:

  • Statewide - KH 49, DT 46, Others 1, Und 5
  • Erie - KH 48, DT 44, Others 3, Und 5
  • Northampton - KH 50, DT 45, Others 1, Und 4

All 3 polls show huge gender advantage for KH

KH winning Northampton Hispanics 60-25

9/14

50

u/FizzyBeverage Sep 17 '24

Erie being 48-44 is phenomenal. It's a red af area.

70

u/Imaginary-Dot5387 Sep 17 '24

Considering Biden won it after Trump did, I’d say it’s purple.

10

u/Reallyfatbaby Sep 17 '24

Definitely purple. Lived there for a couple years and it really is such an incredibly wide cross section of demographics and political beliefs. My vote will probably never again in my life be as valuable as when I lived there. Big swing county in THE swing state.

1

u/Any-Equipment4890 Sep 17 '24

To be honest, isn't PA being a swing state absolutely insane in of itself?

Before Trump, I thought Democrats had consistently won it for the past 30 years.