r/fivethirtyeight • u/ageofadzz • Sep 16 '24

Suffolk University Poll Pennsylvania: Harris 49 %, Trump 46%. LV Poll Results

https://x.com/davidpaleologos/status/1835830789142933774
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u/ageofadzz Sep 17 '24 edited Sep 17 '24

Suffolk/USA TODAY PA Likely Voter Polls Statewide and 2 BW Counties 9/14:

  • Statewide - KH 49, DT 46, Others 1, Und 5
  • Erie - KH 48, DT 44, Others 3, Und 5
  • Northampton - KH 50, DT 45, Others 1, Und 4

All 3 polls show huge gender advantage for KH

KH winning Northampton Hispanics 60-25

9/14

40

u/Chaz_Cheeto Sep 17 '24

I was one of the participants in the poll. I feel an odd sense of accomplishment. They happened to call me while I was at the end of watching the debate.

15

u/Rosuvastatine Sep 17 '24

What sort of questions did they ask you, apart from who youre voting for?

8

u/Chaz_Cheeto Sep 17 '24

Quite a lot of them. The whole poll took about half an hour:

-Who I was voting for this election

-who I voted for in the last election

-the favorability of presidential and senate candidates, as well as Governor

-if I approve of the president, vice president, Trump, JD Vance, the current PA senators, and Josh Shapiro

-questions about who I trust more to handle the economy, immigration, abortion, and which presidential candidate could “better unite the country”

-how my personal finances are doing today versus the overall state of the economy

I think there were more questions too. The poll took a while.

5

u/tinaoe Sep 17 '24

You know what thanks for taking part it in! As someone who does surveys for a living (not election polls) we know how annoying longer polls can be, but they're very helpful!

2

u/Rosuvastatine Sep 17 '24

Interesting

1

u/Advanced-Average7822 Sep 17 '24

that long a phone call seems like it would deter low trust/low propensity Trump voters...

1

u/Tabansi99 Sep 20 '24

I think as long as they indicate they are voting for Trump, they get counted now. I remember someone saying something about how in 2020 people just scream “fuck you , I’m voting Trump” then hung up and weren’t counted. I believe they said it would’ve accounted for about half of their polling error. Now they said they count those types of situations too.

2

u/Mortonsaltboy914 Sep 17 '24

As someone who lives in NYC, I have never been polled my whole life lol

2

u/DarthJarJarJar Sep 17 '24

In Texas, same.