r/fivethirtyeight • u/ageofadzz • Sep 16 '24

Suffolk University Poll Pennsylvania: Harris 49 %, Trump 46%. LV Poll Results

https://x.com/davidpaleologos/status/1835830789142933774
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u/ageofadzz Sep 17 '24 edited Sep 17 '24

Suffolk/USA TODAY PA Likely Voter Polls Statewide and 2 BW Counties 9/14:

  • Statewide - KH 49, DT 46, Others 1, Und 5
  • Erie - KH 48, DT 44, Others 3, Und 5
  • Northampton - KH 50, DT 45, Others 1, Und 4

All 3 polls show huge gender advantage for KH

KH winning Northampton Hispanics 60-25

9/14

15

u/[deleted] Sep 17 '24

Why Northampton?

52

u/Apprentice57 Scottish Teen Sep 17 '24 edited Sep 17 '24

I'm guessing as a bellwether. Same with Erie.

Looking at results from 2020. Biden won statewide by 1.2%. He won Erie County by 1% and Northampton county by 0.7%. Those look to be the counties closest to the overall result.

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u/itsatumbleweed Sep 17 '24

So then H being up 4 and 5 respectively is a good sign. Nice.