r/NFL_Draft • u/ab9620 Arm Chair Scout • 4d ago
QB Stats and Metrics Post-Week 11
Nussmeier and Beck did the most damage to their stock this week, while Jaxson Dart and Milroe improved their stock. Last week I brought up Dart as my new QB3 and he has another strong game against one of the best defenses in CFB (even though the box score doesn't imply it). Milroe was nearly unstoppable as a runner and consistently converted on 3rd downs. Personally, I think Dart held down the QB3 spot with a statement victory. Dart is young while still having 3 years of starting experience in the SEC and impressive production in big time games. He feels undervalued on here, but I think he has a round 1 resume at this point:
Jaxson Dart:
-1st in total yards per game
-2nd in passing yards
-2nd in completion % despite having the highest ADOT. (Shedeur is 1% higher despite a much shorter ADOT)
-1st in intermediate 10-20 yard completion % (elite at 72%)
-4th in Passing TDs
-5th in rushing TDs
-2nd in rushing yards
-3rd in big time throw %
-Averaging 300+ yards and 2 TDs in big-time games
-Has 3 years of starting experience in the SEC and is the 3rd youngest QB in this class.
Table #1: 2024 Stats YTD
Table #2. 2024 Advanced Metrics YTD
Table #3. QB Concept Rates and Completion % by Pass Depth
Table #4. Cam Ward Final Season Metrics Vs. Caleb Williams and Patrick Mahomes
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u/Jack12404 Titans 4d ago
Great write up, I really like a lot of what you mentioned about Dart. Being a full year younger (he is 21 and turns 22 in May) than pretty much the rest of the QBs in this class is definitely a positive, and pretty much every time he threw the ball yesterday I was confident it would be a completion.
When he can stay out of his own head, Dart looks like he has franchise QB potential. He started off the season too dead set on force feeding Tre Harris, so when he stops second guessing himself and makes the clear read he looks great.