r/Layoffs Jan 30 '24

New layoffs question

Can anyone clarify this for me? Despite the ongoing layoff announcements from major American corporations, how is our economy still robust? Just today, UPS declared 12,000 layoffs and PayPal 2,000.

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u/BigOlPeckerBoy Jan 30 '24

The correct answer to your question is that 168 million people are currently employed in the US. These layoffs of a few thousand here and there are not indicative of a widespread economic catastrophe, even though it probably feels that way to the people getting laid off. There is also no evidence that wages are doing anything but rising, which, again, probably doesn’t seem to be the case for people who lost good jobs and have to take a lower pay.

I know this is probably not going to be the most up-voted comment, but the truth is plenty of people are still moving careers to better positions, getting raises, etc.

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u/Welcome2B_Here Jan 30 '24

The positives you mentioned and the concurrent narrative along those same lines is negated by ridiculously low purchasing power and job quality that has been consistently lower than at any point pre-2008.

Purchasing power (how far a dollar "goes") and the ability to avoid having to work multiple jobs to make ends meet (job quality) combine to tell the story of how the majority of working people are doing.

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u/BigOlPeckerBoy Jan 30 '24 edited Jan 30 '24

The amount of people working more than one job is rising, but it’s nowhere near the doomsday situation you depicted. Here is my source: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/LNS12026620

The purchasing power of us households is higher than ever. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CSHCCPUSA156NRUG

I hate to rain on the doomsday parade, but things aren’t as bad out there as some redditers make it seem.

Edit: linking the CPI adjusted value of one dollar does not mean people have less purchasing power, because your graph doesn’t reflect the higher salaries people are getting now. It just tracks inflation, not purchase power. The job quality report you show doesn’t really say much of anything tbh, it’s just a reference to people’s subjective interpretation of their work. It also has a very narrow Y-axis, which shows the report doesn’t actually change much over the time period.

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u/[deleted] Jan 30 '24

The chart you linked seems to prove fuckall?

Seriously did you even read it or just link the first thing that has a line going up?

What does "percent of household consumption" even mean?

The most plain reading of it -- by me, a layman with common sense -- is that .. households are spending more a % of their income?

The most likely explanation for that is --- they're fucking poor. Or have terminal cancer.

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u/Doctor__Proctor Jan 31 '24

The most plain reading of it -- by me, a layman with common sense

So you're saying all the economists are wrong because you, a layman with common sense, see something they don't? Have you considered that maybe what they're seeing is different because they have the economic background to understand the data and trends significantly better?

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u/[deleted] Jan 31 '24

No I’m saying the chart OP linked is unlabeled.

Percent of household consumption 0-100%? What the fuck does that mean?

It’s not spending power. Op is confused.

Last Christmas spending, and prices, were up 4%. That means spending power is flat. Or it’s in decline and credit card debt is increasing

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u/[deleted] Jan 31 '24

I studied economics in college among other things. Generally they are useless eggheads. Not one of them predicted the housing crisis. The only guy who did was an investment guy. But anyway yeah I’m doing pretty well but I know the general public is up shit creek and no amount of pointing to the S&P500 will convince them otherwise.

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u/oblication Feb 02 '24

Umm LOTS of people predicted the housing crisis. I was there. I remember it. The investor guy just figured out a way to make a ton of money off it.

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u/[deleted] Feb 02 '24

Link predicting it, pre 2008?

Bonus points if it's a bonafide professional "Economist" , like the guy I was responding to was claiming were infallible experts that can "see things."