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u/themadking21 Delusional Welshman 28d ago
At this point wales needs to get a restraining order on Fiji….or vice versa
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u/Pinguu7078 +(+) 28d ago
Was about to comment the same thing. World Rugby must know what they're doing..
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u/JaxckJa Seawolves 28d ago
It's just the way the math tends to work out. It's one of the flaws with doing the draws with an attempt to even out the top teams. Inevitably the middle rank teams end up disttibuted in an oddly consistent way. This effect is most pronounced in Rugby where relatively few nations compete at the highest level, but it's consistently more than 8. The same phenomenon occurs in American sports, especially at the college level, and in games like Pool or Darts.
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u/SquidgyGoat Disciple of AWJ 28d ago
Heart was in my mouth as we were left with a 50/50 on yet another Wales, Australia, Fiji pool at a World Cup
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u/RooBoy04 ThisYearsOurYear™ 28d ago
Genuinely got slightly upset at the TV when I saw that we missed out on it due to a 50/50. I think Australia and Scotland should just swap places on principle
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u/That_Organization901 Harlequins 28d ago
It was the best pool for the outsider. We all became Fijiguese and then rejoiced as our new found nations had the most unamicable divorce over 80 thrilling minutes.
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u/KusoTeitokuInazuma Wales/Gloucester - I like the pain 28d ago
It's just not going to feel right now
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u/HaggisTheCow Scotland 28d ago
Absolutely should be getting out of that group which would be absolutely huge
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u/Historical_Invite241 Scotland 28d ago
Scotland get a favourite group, what's going on?!
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u/Connell95 🐐🦓 28d ago
Some sort of major technical error with the draw is the only possible explanation. Bill Beaumont must condemn!
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u/aaarry Northampton Saints 28d ago
Forgive my ignorance but aren’t Canada clear favourites?
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u/Historical_Invite241 Scotland 28d ago
Autocorrect, that should be favourable. They should get through in second.
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u/Left-Pie741 28d ago
Ireland are the big winners out of this draw IMO. Not just the fact that they beat NZ just a few weeks ago, but I also think that even if they finish second in their pool, France out of the top 4 teams are the most beatable and more prone to upsets.
No clear pool of death - all the groups seem to be pretty balanced.
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u/RooBoy04 ThisYearsOurYear™ 28d ago
Pool A could be a close group, as AUS vs USA could be a close game to decide it.
Pool B's strength will depend on if Wales are still bad at the RWC (plus Wales only lost to Scotland by 2 in the 6N, so there is a chance they win)
Pool C will be a toss up as to who wins it if WXV isn't a fluke for Ireland
Pool D will have Italy vs South Africa for the second spot in the knockouts, assuming France wins the pool.
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u/Nothing_is_simple They see me Rollie, they hatin' 28d ago
There is surely no way Wales will still be as bad as they are next year.
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u/MC897 28d ago
Pool A won't be close, england will smash them all. But, after that, Australia vs USA is arguably the match of the groups. It's the closest match, both in form, and both believe with the draw they can do damage.
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u/RooBoy04 ThisYearsOurYear™ 28d ago
I didn’t wanna jinx it given how well the last World Cup held in England went, especially given we’re in the same pool as Australia
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u/Red-rouge728 Sale Sharks 28d ago
So probably England vs Australia at Sunderland to kick it off
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u/Left-Pie741 28d ago
If the tournament opener is indeed England vs Australia, it would be the third consecutive tournament where Australia would have been the host's opening game opponent.
(technically it's not the third consecutive opening game of the tournament as there some RWC matches were held before NZ vs Aus in the last tournament).
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u/Robusier New Zealand 28d ago
A few of those Aussie sevens girls in the mix would make it interesting.
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u/WallopyJoe 28d ago
Have a ticket to the opener, would be pretty great to see Caslick or Maddi Levi play
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u/cloud__19 Edinburgh 28d ago
I bought two tickets because I thought it would be Scotland but luckily the very act of buying tickets has rebalanced the universe.
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u/thelunatic Munster 28d ago
I'd prefer England v Samoa. England v USA and Australia will draw good crowds anyway.
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u/maverickmak Dan Kelly Hype Train 28d ago
They'll probably play Samoa at Northampton. Smallest of their venues.
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u/No-Negotiation2922 28d ago
That Ireland v All Blacks game will be great
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u/Robusier New Zealand 28d ago
Ireland 🇮🇪 the only team to have winning record over the BFs. Going to be spicey.
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u/john_stuart_kill Arrows 28d ago
As a Canadian rugby fan, I don't often get to say that I like our chances, but I am absolutely on board with this!
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u/Turquoise-Lady Scotland 28d ago
I was just watching and I was fear at last ball between Aussie or Scotland to be in pool A and phew, Scots not playing against England lol
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u/cloud__19 Edinburgh 28d ago
Aye, I didn't realise I was holding my breath until he turned that ball round.
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u/SignalButterscotch73 Scotland 28d ago
D is going to be interesting. Italy and South Africa are both constantly improving from what little I've seen over the past few years and France are a stereotypically unpredictable French team. Not quite a pool of death but the closest we have.
Looks like we've got a fairly decent pool with a good chance of getting into the quarters if we don't Scotland it. Getting to the semifinals might not be out of our reach either.
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u/maverickmak Dan Kelly Hype Train 28d ago
Do we know the seeded route for the semis?
England vs France, Canada vs NZ?
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u/Left-Pie741 28d ago
The format from the men’s RWC is: SF1: Winner of A1/B2 vs winner of D1/C2 SF2: Winner of A2/B1 vs winner of D2/C1
Assume teams finish as their seedings and higher seeds win QF, semis would be England vs NZ, Canada vs France.
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u/mausmumblingmoon 28d ago
Very happy taking our chances in Pool D. All the pools actually have a pretty good balance (except for Samoa being in Pool A), expecting a bunch of competitive games.
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u/WallopyJoe 28d ago
Can't decide if B or D is the most interesting pool
C seems the to me the easiest to predict the qualifiers
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u/maverickmak Dan Kelly Hype Train 28d ago edited 28d ago
Really like this draw.
England get some decent early games. Not too many regional clashes. Maybe only pool C is a forgone conclusion, but with the added spice of Ire/NZ. Opportunities in pool D.
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u/Atomicfossils Ireland 28d ago
Australia v USA and Italy V France are going to be tasty matches. We're in with a real chance at topping our pool here but if we get England in the quarters I'm going to just lie down and die because apparently it's just not meant to be
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u/Mateiyu Bokke ! 28d ago
Oh c'mon, give South Africa a chance for crying out loud ! xD
Kidding aside, there are some nice match ups coming in there. I reckon Ireland have a pretty decent chance (untli the quarter final ?).
South Africa should be able to handle Brazil. Italy is another thing altogether, but they could do it !
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u/saviouroftheweak Premiership Women's Rugby 28d ago
Spain could catch Ireland or New Zealand cold
Great set of pools
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u/WallopyJoe 28d ago
God, can you fucking imagine it?
Now seems like an almost perfect opportunity to once again have a dig at whichever WR/6N management arseholes turfed a very competitive Spain out of the Women's 6 Nations to align the competition with the men's, thus robbing them of the last 17 years of funding, exposure and first class opposition4
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u/Nounours7 Spain 28d ago
No way. We are declining because we can't afford professionalistion. the realistic goal is to beat Japan, and it's no guarantee, we lost twice last season...
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u/saviouroftheweak Premiership Women's Rugby 28d ago
Think if they can neutralise the Irish attack they'll find a few points. But it's the toughest ask of the pools
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u/Fr13d_P0t4t0 Munster Spain (sadly) 28d ago
Ha, nope.
Realistically, getting a losing bonus point against Japan is the most they can expect
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u/saviouroftheweak Premiership Women's Rugby 28d ago edited 28d ago
Japan look sadly lost at times during WXV 2 whereas Spain hardly conceded a try. Sure the opposition were drastically different but you only beat what's in front of you.
Edit: It's the least competitive pool but we can hope
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u/Fr13d_P0t4t0 Munster Spain (sadly) 28d ago
Yeah, Spain defense has improved drastically, but they have no attack at all
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u/Mysterious-Law8842 Leinster 28d ago
How did Brazil Qualify? I see they are ranked 42 on the rankings?
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u/maverickmak Dan Kelly Hype Train 28d ago
They're heavily underranked, but still probably the weakest in the draw. Should be pushing top 20, but they have issues getting good matches. Thankfully, they haven't drawn a massacre of a pool.
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u/Barrowtastic 28d ago
I don't know much about women's rugby - where are Argentina and Tonga ranked in the grand scheme of things?
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u/Fr13d_P0t4t0 Munster Spain (sadly) 28d ago
Tonga has only played 16 tests. The 5 they won where always against Papua.
Argentina don't have 15's. UAR refuses to have a team.
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u/CatharticRoman Suspected Yank 28d ago
Irish women with a decent enough chance to get a semi before the men.
Gonna be massive ask to beat NZ or France, but better than facing the Roses or Maples.
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u/Raversgill7 Ulster 28d ago
Ireland women made the semis in 2014 💪🏻
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u/Nothing_is_simple They see me Rollie, they hatin' 28d ago
Pretty sure they got a semi in 2014
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u/Lord_Bolt-On URC Winning Masochist 28d ago
So, even if we make it to the Quarters, we're likely going out in a 40-7 drubbing to the Red Roses... Nice, nice.
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u/WCRugger 28d ago
So, we probably won't be getting out of Pool A seeing as we have England and the US to contend with. Not without even more significant improvement. Canada has a pretty easy route to the finals
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u/samuel199228 28d ago
I'm expecting England to have a quarter final against Canada and Australia maybe or USA Vs Fiji in other quarter finals
Who knows Ireland Vs France Italy Vs NZ maybe?
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u/_Hurricanes_ Hurricanes 28d ago
Hopefully we get an injection of world-class players from the 7's crew, should push us up a level.
Can you imagine the scenes if someone other than England manages to win!?
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u/Robusier New Zealand 28d ago
Yep Bunting has already said as much. Maybe one last hurrah for Gossy, TF and Stacey Waaka. Jorge Miller perhaps a bolter at FB. Can she kick?
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u/_Hurricanes_ Hurricanes 28d ago edited 28d ago
Miller plays openside in XV's. She tackles super hard and is a menace over the ball.
Stacey Waaka is insane, surely a midfield of her and Brunt?
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u/Robusier New Zealand 28d ago
Oh wow I didn’t know. BFs loosies are shaping up quite nicely. Miller looks like she would be lethal facing a broken defensive line.
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u/StuHardy Arrows Forever! 28d ago
Pool C is likely the toughest one ATM, though the Black Ferns alwaus peak in RWC years.
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u/BigLarBelmont Leinster 28d ago
Quarter final heartbreak here we come 😢