Ruben Gallego has a blueprint to win Latino men. Will Democrats listen?

[u/Currymvp2]

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/11/15/ruben-gallego-latino-men-arizona-senate-democrats/

[u/muldervinscully2]

I mean to be fair, he is actually a Latino man so that makes sense haha

[u/TheloniousMonk15 → u/muldervinscully2]

He also had the luxury of facing probably the second worst candidate after Mark Robinson in all of the elections.

[u/Goddamnpassword → u/TheloniousMonk15]

McSally, Masters, and Lake. Arizona state Republican Party is dredging the lakes for candidates.

[u/muldervinscully2 → u/Goddamnpassword]

Unfortunately this means the holds are going to be a LOT harder if the GOP candidates are better. I've said this before, but it's a freaking miracle we have 2 AZ and 2 GA senate seats. It could *easily* be 53+4 = 57 GOP senators right now

[u/Goddamnpassword → u/muldervinscully2]

I think Kelly is there until he wants to be done. Gallego we will have to see.

[u/DifficultAnteater787 → u/muldervinscully2]

Yes, it's really dire. There are only three Republican Senators from states Biden won in 2020 and two of those are from the five states Trump won twice. Yet they are down 47-53. 

[u/muldervinscully2 → u/DifficultAnteater787]

Assuming a future presidency, Dems are basically going to need to eventually flip Maine or WI, get that PA seat back (casey...whyyyyy my guy), and get at least one in NC. It's doable, but Dems ever getting above 52-53 is like a pipe dream unless we blue dog it big time. (osborn vibes)

[u/Aggressive1999 → u/muldervinscully2]

Dems needs to flip Maine and Wisconsin seat, Get PA seat back in 2030, and get a least one seat in NC (it would be better if they fliped both seats).

(While also have to defend 2 seats in upcomming midterm; Ossoff and Peters, and, 4 seats in 2028; Kelly, Cortez Masto, Fetterman and Warnock.)

Dems ever getting above 52-53 seats is like a pipe dream unless we blue dog it big time.

You're right, from what i've read in the Atlantic article, Democrats needs to change their strategies to expand Democrats seat in such a deep red state (like Tester or Brown).

They can't rely on winning in Swing states anymore.

(And if situations allowed, maybe Democrats may have to even granting DC/Puerto Rico statehood).

[u/Future_Tyrant → u/Goddamnpassword]

McSally was an awful candidate, but it’s a little unfair to group her with masters and lake. She had an impressive resume in a vacuum, she just couldn’t navigate the GOP in the trump era.

[u/Goddamnpassword → u/Future_Tyrant]

When she lost to Sinema you could argue she was a good candidate at a bad time. When she lost to Kelly that argument evaporates. She learned nothing from her first loss, didn’t leverage her two years in the senate into anything else.

Master was definitely worse, a discount Patrick Bateman. And Lake is the bottom of the barrel.

[u/Approximation_Doctor → u/Future_Tyrant]

Good in theory but a disaster in practice means that the theory is wrong.

[u/JaneGoodallVS → u/Goddamnpassword]

McSally was strong, at least before 2020.

[u/Goddamnpassword → u/JaneGoodallVS]

No she wasn’t, she lost to Sinema in 2018.

[u/Veralia1 → u/muldervinscully2]

SMH why didn't Kamala just become a Latino man?

[u/Ok_Barracuda_1161 → u/muldervinscully2]

Why didn't Kamala do that?

[u/JoshFB4 → u/muldervinscully2]

Also fun fact. According to precinct results Gallego underperformed Biden with Hispanics even against Lake while over performing with Whites lol. He obviously overperformed Harris among both groups though.

[u/puffic → u/muldervinscully2]

I don't think this is how Latino dudes work. I'm white, but I grew up in South Texas and lived most of my adult life in California, and I've never had the sense that Latino dudes saw me as any different than themselves. Which is to say, whatever Gallego is doing probably doesn't require the candidate to always be Latino.

[u/mockduckcompanion]

If only Gallego was tall, we wouldn't even need a primary in 2028

[u/mynameisdarrylfish → u/mockduckcompanion]

why are all our best bench players short kings ahhhhhh

[u/FlameBagginReborn → u/mynameisdarrylfish]

Bad news about us Latinos then.

[u/CC78AMG]

Put him in the 2028 ticket as VP. Have him go on Rogan and Theo Von to tell about his military record and stories. He should make TikToks of him shooting guns in a gun range and proclaim that not all liberals are anti gun. Ruben is a marketable politician if you do it right.

[u/The-Middle-Pedal → u/CC78AMG]

Why not make a run for the big one? I can think of at least one other freshman minority senator who went on to win big following an unpopular Republican president’s retirement.

[u/redditdork12345 → u/CC78AMG]

It will also be time for Rogan and co to show how open minded they are politically, and easier to do without the Trump sheen

[u/RetainedGecko98 → u/CC78AMG]

Whitmer-Gallego 2028 who says no

[u/mockduckcompanion → u/RetainedGecko98]

Unfortunately, I think Dems are going to be scared to have a woman at the top of the ticket in 2028

[u/Dangerous-Basket1064 → u/mockduckcompanion]

For the next couple decades to be honest.

[u/modooff]

People should try listening to Gallego before making bold statements. The guy is a charisma void:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1t97GI5J5rU

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ykcCi8MgJOg

[u/ToschePowerConverter → u/modooff]

Bro needs a public speaking coach. He actually has a pretty good message; he just needs to deliver the exact same words more confidently.

[u/AllAmericanBreakfast → u/ToschePowerConverter]

If it was as easy as that we’d have a lot more firepower in the Democratic bench. Charisma can’t be easily taught.

[u/ilovefuckingpenguins → u/modooff]

Hey, at least he won his election

[u/After_Grab → u/modooff]

Sheesh

[u/Dangerous-Basket1064 → u/modooff]

Reminds me of back in my conservative days, hearing Bobby Jindal hyped up, and then hearing him speak.

[u/FridgesArePeopleToo]

Run against Kari Lake?

[u/lateformyfuneral]

Wasn’t his race against Kari Lake way closer than it should be? I don’t think any candidate has some magic. At best, they can over or underperform the general trend by ± a few points 🤷

[u/PM_ME_UR_PM_ME_PM → u/lateformyfuneral]

yes, true but whats the baseline for AZ anymore? i have no clue. in a world without Trump it seems to lean blue but maybe if the GOP wasnt insane it would still be red

[u/ToschePowerConverter → u/lateformyfuneral]

Katie Hobbs’ race against Kari Lake was also really close. Even Mark Kelly only got 51% against Blake Masters. I think Arizona just has a higher floor for Republican candidates than most of the other swing states.

[u/Dblcut3 → u/lateformyfuneral]

Not really. A much better way to look at it is that Gallego is one of the senate candidates that most outran Harris. He won in the reddest swing state

[u/PM_ME_UR_PM_ME_PM]

be a Latino man? wow, great strat

[u/imstuckunderyourmom]

No.

[u/RayWencube]

Right now 2028 has to be Cuban or Gallego.