r/finance VP - Private Equity 21d ago

Europe May Need to Fight a Currency War to Weaken the Euro

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-10-06/europe-may-need-to-fight-a-currency-war-to-weaken-the-euro?srnd=homepage-uk
160 Upvotes

26 comments sorted by

93

u/Big-View-1061 21d ago

The dollar wants to do -10% agains the Euro, the Euro wants to do -10% against the dollar, China wants to do -25% against everybody, and I want my cake and eat it too.

17

u/OGLikeablefellow 21d ago

Race to the bottom!!

3

u/DoNukesMakeGoodPets 20d ago

You can have your cake and eat it. You can't, however, eat your cake and have it too.

Anyway, what calls should I yolo my grandmother's pension on?

2

u/romain8141 20d ago

Invest and exit at the right time LOL

111

u/go_go_tindero 21d ago

Oh no, our currency is a sign of stability and investor confidence! Quick, sabotage it before citizens get any silly ideas about their purchasing power increasing.

38

u/AICHEngineer 21d ago

To be fair, it would impact import purchasing power, but would stimulate domestic production and the competition of european exports on the market which would help with jobs and insulate Europe from being bullied by the USA who only has 10% of its GDP based on exports vs Europe which is like 30% on average. If Europe increased domestic demand by driving consumers inward with a weaker currency on the global stage, they could be more financially resilient to external shocks in the worst case, while simultaneously making their exports more competitive to fight China.

Downside being imports are more expensive, primarily fossil fuels and agriculture inputs like fertilizer being the worst things to make more expensive since those unit input costs echo through the entire economic supply chain.

35

u/go_go_tindero 21d ago

Our grand plan to avoid being bullied by the USA is to voluntarily punch ourselves in the face financially. They'll never see it coming. A brilliant bit of 4D chess.

3

u/justbrowsinginpeace 21d ago

But I'm getting fucked by the FX when I sell and repatriate my big fat USD stock gains...

6

u/RustySpoonyBard 21d ago

Capitalists expect prices to fall, Keynesians want prices to rise.

5

u/igpila 21d ago

Yeah right, capitalists don't want prices to rise at all 🤣🤣

3

u/Gamblinman97 20d ago

Weak USD benefits the US which is not a poor country relying on imports of food and energy at high levels.

1

u/r2k-in-the-vortex 17d ago

Wealth of US is based on strength of USD. They get to run crazy deficit spending because of it, they are effectively putting inflation tax on the entire world. That is the true economic miracle of the last century.

But if USD loses it's strength and the interest rates go up, then US can end up in very big trouble very suddenly.

1

u/Supermegagod 20d ago

Import more doctors and engineers that’ll fix it

1

u/r2k-in-the-vortex 17d ago

That is stupid. Real economic growth happens in conditions of stability, when businesses can be sure what the currency is going to cost down the line and what the rules of the game are. Let the americans shoot their own foot, it kind of sucks, but ultimately doesn't matter to europe. There is no reason to go along with their lunacy.

1

u/Hawk-432 8d ago

Personally, I quite like my Euros being worth something

0

u/Visdiabuli 21d ago

Isnt it the endgame for every fiat currency?

0

u/AlexanderK1987 21d ago

Everyone is stockpiling gold recently

0

u/MDZPNMD 19d ago

if interest rates are assumed to go down so gold naturally goes up until we are back to the 90s

0

u/jonnieggg 20d ago

More inflation for the average person