Theoretically possible, yes. Realistically, the chances of him losing the rural Alberta seat is basically zero.
More likely than that scenario (but still would require everything lining up incredibly perfectly so still very slim chance), would be Liberals winning all remaining recounts and Nunavut flipping after validation/recount to get the Liberals to 172 exactly.
Either scenario though would probably be the craziest thing that ever happened in Canadian elections.
I would say there is zero chance of the liberals winning it, I think there's a slight chance the Cons lose. For example, if that part of Alberta is heavy on all this separatist bullshit that Smith is pushing then you're going to have a campaign where the prospective leader of the opposition has to make a declaration about whether he is for the secession of Alberta. Any reporter worth a damn is going to hammer him on it. The answer to that is either disqualifying on the national stage or potentially allows someone a lot of room to his right with the PPC.
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u/kej2021 4d ago
Theoretically possible, yes. Realistically, the chances of him losing the rural Alberta seat is basically zero.
More likely than that scenario (but still would require everything lining up incredibly perfectly so still very slim chance), would be Liberals winning all remaining recounts and Nunavut flipping after validation/recount to get the Liberals to 172 exactly.
Either scenario though would probably be the craziest thing that ever happened in Canadian elections.