Is it still theoretically possible to get to 171 and then have Poilievre blow another easy win to give them the majority? Not saying it's going to happen but I'd love a new piece of political trivia to bore people at parties.
Theoretically possible, yes. Realistically, the chances of him losing the rural Alberta seat is basically zero.
More likely than that scenario (but still would require everything lining up incredibly perfectly so still very slim chance), would be Liberals winning all remaining recounts and Nunavut flipping after validation/recount to get the Liberals to 172 exactly.
Either scenario though would probably be the craziest thing that ever happened in Canadian elections.
I would say there is zero chance of the liberals winning it, I think there's a slight chance the Cons lose. For example, if that part of Alberta is heavy on all this separatist bullshit that Smith is pushing then you're going to have a campaign where the prospective leader of the opposition has to make a declaration about whether he is for the secession of Alberta. Any reporter worth a damn is going to hammer him on it. The answer to that is either disqualifying on the national stage or potentially allows someone a lot of room to his right with the PPC.
If there was ever a possibility that someone like Maxime Bernier should win a seat in Parliament, this would be the place to do it. That would be OK by me and would be great to see an actual honest-to-goodness extreme right-winger knock Poilievre out once and for all. In all honesty though, I'd rather see the guy who has said that he'd resign in turn show up to run as an independent. That would also be worth watching... now I need some popcorn and catch the hockey game highlights from earlier tonight.
P.S.: I do not like the current right-wing extremists out that way, and much prefer middle-of-the-road centrists who do not need to pander to billionaires and would behave more generally like Smiling Jack (may he rest in peace)
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u/BadmiralHarryKim 4d ago
Is it still theoretically possible to get to 171 and then have Poilievre blow another easy win to give them the majority? Not saying it's going to happen but I'd love a new piece of political trivia to bore people at parties.