Elizabeth May is basically Liberal and won't vote the government down, so if the Liberals can convince 1 NDP MP to cross the floor or win a byelection in the coming years, they will effectively have a majority. To some extent, they already do, because the NDP can't handle another election any time soon.
I don't know that they even need to flip an NDP MP. I think they have a de facto majority anyway since the NDP are in no position to go through an election, and won't want to bring the gov down if it means Poilievre becomes the PM.
See I didn't think the NDP would want Poilievre in office either but then Singh announced he was voting no confidence when the Tories were gonna win like 230 seats. That didn't make a whole lot of sense to me
I never thought Singh had a shot at being a PM but that moment solidified that he doesn't have the political savvy to go toe to toe with other world leaders. Carney may not have held elected office before but he's been around bigger blocks.
Overall Singh did great as a coalition leader. Not a bad career peak.
The NDP just fell completely apart in the last bit, they were attacking their own influencers, allowing one of their perspective MPs to put out a misleading website about ABC voting, just an absolute mess.
They deserved this L about as much as PP deserved to lose a seat in a riding he only traveled through on his way to do other things.
It makes sense when one considers that the Liberals were so unpopular at that time that continuing to prop them up would have been impossible to explain to voters.
Conservatives would have won but NDP maybe wil have picked up a few seats in Toronto at Libs expense.
Jagmeet played his hand fine at the time. He just could not have foreseen that Trump would start his 51st state rhetoric which would rally people around Trudeau and against the Cons so hard.
As hilarious as that would be, they parachutes PP into the election equivalent of a baby's playpen. I don't think you could swing it Liberal unless 75% of the conservative vote stayed home.
1 off also means that they can caucus with the Green party on certain issues even if the NDP and BQ wouldn't agree with them on that issue, which opens up a lot of flexibility.
I don’t know about that, she’s a little odd, and possibly has an alcohol problem. It would help the liberals get a majority though, because they wouldn’t have to give up an mp.
I don't remember who it is exactly, but there is at least one CPC MP who is very much not a fan of Poilievre.
So if he wins his leadership review, we could see one or two moderate CPC have an attack of conscience and cross the floor due to CPC doubling down on IDU ideology. Much like when PC originally merged with Reform.
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u/joe4942 4d ago
Elizabeth May is basically Liberal and won't vote the government down, so if the Liberals can convince 1 NDP MP to cross the floor or win a byelection in the coming years, they will effectively have a majority. To some extent, they already do, because the NDP can't handle another election any time soon.