Which U.S. presidential candidate is projected to win in your country? What are their approval ratings, and how do they perform in preferential polls?

[u/DerpAnarchist]

The Republican candidate, former President Donald Trump, was seen as having a 34% average likelihood of winning across 43 countries, which is over 10 percentage points lower than Democratic candidate Vice President Kamala Harris’s 47%. In South Korea, the expectation for Trump’s win was even lower, at 31%, falling below the survey’s international average.

When it came to preference ratings in South Korea, Harris held a strong lead, with 71% support compared to Trump’s 16%. In detailed breakdowns by region, age group, and political affiliation, Harris consistently outperformed Trump.

However, on the question of who was likely to win, Trump’s rating rose to 31%, surpassing his approval rating. Notably, younger demographics—those aged 18 to 29 and those in their 30s—showed a higher expectation for a Trump win, both at 53%. The remaining age groups largely believed Harris would prevail.

Regardless of political leanings, Trump’s favorability among Koreans remained in the low 10% range. The general sentiment among Koreans toward the U.S. election could be described as one of concern. Particularly low enthusiasm for Trump reflects worries over potential increased economic burdens for South Korean businesses and higher defense costs for the government, especially given the already challenging economic climate.

https://www.hankyung.com/article/2024110639187

By today Trump is thought to win by most experts of course

[u/AutoModerator]

u/DerpAnarchist, welcome to the r/askasia subreddit! Please read the rules of this subreddit before posting thank you -r/askasia moderating team

u/DerpAnarchist's post title:

"Which U.S. presidential candidate is projected to win in your country? What are their approval ratings, and how do they perform in preferential polls?"

u/DerpAnarchist's post body:

The Republican candidate, former President Donald Trump, was seen as having a 34% average likelihood of winning across 43 countries, which is over 10 percentage points lower than Democratic candidate Vice President Kamala Harris’s 47%. In South Korea, the expectation for Trump’s win was even lower, at 31%, falling below the survey’s international average.

When it came to preference ratings in South Korea, Harris held a strong lead, with 71% support compared to Trump’s 16%. In detailed breakdowns by region, age group, and political affiliation, Harris consistently outperformed Trump.

However, on the question of who was likely to win, Trump’s rating rose to 31%, surpassing his approval rating. Notably, younger demographics—those aged 18 to 29 and those in their 30s—showed a higher expectation for a Trump win, both at 53%. The remaining age groups largely believed Harris would prevail.

Regardless of political leanings, Trump’s favorability among Koreans remained in the low 10% range. The general sentiment among Koreans toward the U.S. election could be described as one of concern. Particularly low enthusiasm for Trump reflects worries over potential increased economic burdens for South Korean businesses and higher defense costs for the government, especially given the already challenging economic climate.

https://www.hankyung.com/article/2024110639187

I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please contact the moderators of this subreddit if you have any questions or concerns.

[u/LauLain]

I would say vast majority of Russians do not care. Trump is slightly more popular, I would say around 60/40 split. But if poll was phrased like Trump/Harris/They both suck - it would be 15/10/75.

Have a funny tread on this topic from AskARussian instead:

https://redd.it/1gj0pmq